Saturday, December 31, 2005

Unimportant polling (today’s top story in the Mercury)

The results:

In my seat of Denison (essentially Hobart), Greens are now preferred over the Liberals.

Conclusion: my neighbours need to be spoon-fed on a steady diet of welfare and Government funded jobs, enjoy the idea of a massively over-taxed State, want to bring ruin to our agriculture industry, and think that Gunns is somehow the cause of Tasmania’s problems, when in fact it is our largest private sector employer.

In Braddon (in the north-west), the Liberals score higher than Labor.

Conclusion: at least a few people in this State have been ignoring the Greens propaganda drive, and are sick of ALP.

One poll shows that the Greens total vote scores as high as 20%.

Conclusion: 80% of Tasmanian’s prefer another party to the Greens.

Support for the Liberals has risen by 4%.

Conclusion: the State liberals are putting in a piss-weak effort.

Labor took its greatest bitch slapping in Denison, the seat of the former- much respected- Jim Bacon.

Conclusion: Paul Lennon can't lead the ALP- and he sure as hell can't lead this State.

"Had the election been held in mid-December and The Mercury TasPoll results been returned by Tasmania's voters, the Government majority in the House would have been lost," Prof Herr said.

Conclusion: good, but…

"The election campaign will crystallise opinion and much can change during this period but the most likely outcome (is) a minority government.”

None of the three major political parties is likely to win a majority share of Tasmania's 332,000 votes at the election tipped for late March.

Conclusion: a Labor/Liberal Coalition is needed. The Liberals have, thankfully, rejected entering into a coalition with the Greens. State Labor has not- yet- done so, and in the past actually entered into an unsuccessful pact with the Greens- without warning voters before the election. Even so, Governor Bennet dismissed the Liberal Premier, and gave power to the ALP/Green coalition, despite justified calls for a new election. See Wikipedia’s nice little article here, and its links, for more on the interesting period.

It is not in the interests of this State to have the Greens in any Government, as we’ve seen in the past. A coalition between the major parties, although there are few positions to go around and would inevitably lead to massive internal problems, would satisfy a good many Tasmanians.

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